Event Summary
On 4 February 2026, the The Electoral Observation Mission (MOE) presented the report Electoral Risk Maps and Factors 2026 National Elections, prepared by 37 analysts from 17 institutions. This study identifies that 170 municipalities present electoral risk due to the coincidence of factors indicative of fraud and violence, of which 81 are at extreme risk, representing a 65% increase compared to 2022.
The critical areas are concentrated in six subregions: Arauca; north-eastern Antioquia and southern Bolívar; the Pacific coast; northern Cauca; south-eastern Colombia (including municipalities in Meta, Caquetá and Guaviare); and middle and lower Putumayo. The case of Cauca stands out, where 19 municipalities are at extreme risk, 14 of which were not at risk in 2022.
The report also notes that 339 municipalities present risks associated with factors of violence, and 383 municipalities show risks due to factors indicative of electoral fraud for the House of Representatives, while 334 municipalities do so for the Senate.